Testing the Policy Feedback Mechanism: Event History Analysis Predicting Gubernatorial Announcement and Grant Activity
| . | Gubernatorial Announcements (N = 414) . | Grant Applications (N = 816) . |
|---|---|---|
| Δ ACA support | 12.51 | −4.36 |
| (11.17) | (5.03) | |
| ACA support (t−1) | 11.96** | −3.11 |
| (5.45) | (2.56) | |
| Republican governor | −.15 | −.31 |
| (.59) | (.34) | |
| Natural log of population size | −.15 | .02 |
| (.29) | (.14) | |
| Median income | .00002 | .00001 |
| (.00) | (.00) | |
| Percent uninsured | .07 | −.01 |
| (.08) | (.05) | |
| Proportion neighbors that announced ACA decision (t−1) | 2.42* | |
| (1.38) | ||
| Δ Proportion neighbors that announced ACA decision | 3.54*** | |
| (1.09) | ||
| Partnership exchange | −2.64*** | −.33 |
| (.94) | (.21) | |
| Federal exchange | −1.82*** | −1.86*** |
| (.74) | (.43) | |
| RWJF state network | −1.18 | .18 |
| (.77) | (.29) | |
| Total number of grant applications (t−1) | −.16 | |
| (.16) | ||
| Proportion neighbors that applied for grants (t−1) | .39 | |
| (.26) | ||
| Δ Proportion neighbors that applied for grants | .34 | |
| (.44) | ||
| Time | −.65 | .68*** |
| (.43) | (.13) | |
| Time squared | .08* | −.03*** |
| (.04) | (.01) | |
| Constant | −7.31 | −3.07 |
| (4.59) | (2.15) |
| . | Gubernatorial Announcements (N = 414) . | Grant Applications (N = 816) . |
|---|---|---|
| Δ ACA support | 12.51 | −4.36 |
| (11.17) | (5.03) | |
| ACA support (t−1) | 11.96** | −3.11 |
| (5.45) | (2.56) | |
| Republican governor | −.15 | −.31 |
| (.59) | (.34) | |
| Natural log of population size | −.15 | .02 |
| (.29) | (.14) | |
| Median income | .00002 | .00001 |
| (.00) | (.00) | |
| Percent uninsured | .07 | −.01 |
| (.08) | (.05) | |
| Proportion neighbors that announced ACA decision (t−1) | 2.42* | |
| (1.38) | ||
| Δ Proportion neighbors that announced ACA decision | 3.54*** | |
| (1.09) | ||
| Partnership exchange | −2.64*** | −.33 |
| (.94) | (.21) | |
| Federal exchange | −1.82*** | −1.86*** |
| (.74) | (.43) | |
| RWJF state network | −1.18 | .18 |
| (.77) | (.29) | |
| Total number of grant applications (t−1) | −.16 | |
| (.16) | ||
| Proportion neighbors that applied for grants (t−1) | .39 | |
| (.26) | ||
| Δ Proportion neighbors that applied for grants | .34 | |
| (.44) | ||
| Time | −.65 | .68*** |
| (.43) | (.13) | |
| Time squared | .08* | −.03*** |
| (.04) | (.01) | |
| Constant | −7.31 | −3.07 |
| (4.59) | (2.15) |
Note: Robust standard errors clustered by state in parentheses. Significance levels: * .10, ** .05, *** .01 with a two-tailed test.
Δ = change.