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Table 2

Proportion of 2019 census county counts falling within, above, and below the 90% prediction intervals as estimated by the Bayesian CPP model

Age-groupProportion in IntervalProportion AboveProportion Below
15–19 .89 .02 .08 
20–24 .89 .00 .09 
25–29 .89 .04 .04 
30–34 .91 .06 .02 
35–39 .87 .01 .09 
40–44 .92 .04 .04 
45–49 .87 .04 .05 
Age-groupProportion in IntervalProportion AboveProportion Below
15–19 .89 .02 .08 
20–24 .89 .00 .09 
25–29 .89 .04 .04 
30–34 .91 .06 .02 
35–39 .87 .01 .09 
40–44 .92 .04 .04 
45–49 .87 .04 .05 
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