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Table 4

Hazard of first migration to Dakar on exposure to migrant alters in social networks and structurally weak (second-order) ties to current migrants and nonmigrant Dakar residents, for adults aged 16 or older in Yandé, 2014–2018

Model 1Model 2Model 3Model 4
Ties to Return Migrants (continuous) 1.05  1.04 1.03 
 (0.06)  (0.06) (0.06) 
Knows Current Migrant(s) (dichotomous) 1.66  1.66 5.84* 
 (0.75)  (0.75) (4.99) 
Knows Dakar Nonmigrant(s) (dichotomous) 1.61  1.61 1.34 
 (0.47)  (0.48) (0.71) 
Structurally Weak Ties to a Migrant Network     
 Current migrants (continuous)  1.00 1.00 1.06 
   (0.01) (0.01) (0.03) 
 Dakar nonmigrants (continuous)  1.02 1.02 1.02 
   (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) 
Structurally Weak Ties to Current Migrants × Knows Current Migrants    0.94* 
    (0.03) 
Structurally Weak Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants × Knows Dakar Nonmigrants    1.02 
    (0.05) 
AIC 957.14 959.35 959.93 960.23 
BIC 1,121.69 1,123.90 1,140.94 1,157.69 
Log-Likelihood −458.57 −459.67 −457.97 −456.11 
Deviance 917.14 919.35 915.93 912.23 
Number of Observations 27,660 27,660 27,660 27,660 
Model 1Model 2Model 3Model 4
Ties to Return Migrants (continuous) 1.05  1.04 1.03 
 (0.06)  (0.06) (0.06) 
Knows Current Migrant(s) (dichotomous) 1.66  1.66 5.84* 
 (0.75)  (0.75) (4.99) 
Knows Dakar Nonmigrant(s) (dichotomous) 1.61  1.61 1.34 
 (0.47)  (0.48) (0.71) 
Structurally Weak Ties to a Migrant Network     
 Current migrants (continuous)  1.00 1.00 1.06 
   (0.01) (0.01) (0.03) 
 Dakar nonmigrants (continuous)  1.02 1.02 1.02 
   (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) 
Structurally Weak Ties to Current Migrants × Knows Current Migrants    0.94* 
    (0.03) 
Structurally Weak Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants × Knows Dakar Nonmigrants    1.02 
    (0.05) 
AIC 957.14 959.35 959.93 960.23 
BIC 1,121.69 1,123.90 1,140.94 1,157.69 
Log-Likelihood −458.57 −459.67 −457.97 −456.11 
Deviance 917.14 919.35 915.93 912.23 
Number of Observations 27,660 27,660 27,660 27,660 

Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion.

Source: Compiled by authors using the NSNHP main survey, 2014.

p < .10; *p < .05

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