Hazard of first migration to Dakar on exposure to migrant alters in social networks and structurally weak (second-order) ties to current migrants and nonmigrant Dakar residents, for adults aged 16 or older in Yandé, 2014–2018
| . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 3 . | Model 4 . |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ties to Return Migrants (continuous) | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | |
| (0.06) | (0.06) | (0.06) | ||
| Knows Current Migrant(s) (dichotomous) | 1.66 | 1.66 | 5.84* | |
| (0.75) | (0.75) | (4.99) | ||
| Knows Dakar Nonmigrant(s) (dichotomous) | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.34 | |
| (0.47) | (0.48) | (0.71) | ||
| Structurally Weak Ties to a Migrant Network | ||||
| Current migrants (continuous) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.06† | |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.03) | ||
| Dakar nonmigrants (continuous) | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.03) | ||
| Structurally Weak Ties to Current Migrants × Knows Current Migrants | 0.94* | |||
| (0.03) | ||||
| Structurally Weak Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants × Knows Dakar Nonmigrants | 1.02 | |||
| (0.05) | ||||
| AIC | 957.14 | 959.35 | 959.93 | 960.23 |
| BIC | 1,121.69 | 1,123.90 | 1,140.94 | 1,157.69 |
| Log-Likelihood | −458.57 | −459.67 | −457.97 | −456.11 |
| Deviance | 917.14 | 919.35 | 915.93 | 912.23 |
| Number of Observations | 27,660 | 27,660 | 27,660 | 27,660 |
| . | Model 1 . | Model 2 . | Model 3 . | Model 4 . |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ties to Return Migrants (continuous) | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.03 | |
| (0.06) | (0.06) | (0.06) | ||
| Knows Current Migrant(s) (dichotomous) | 1.66 | 1.66 | 5.84* | |
| (0.75) | (0.75) | (4.99) | ||
| Knows Dakar Nonmigrant(s) (dichotomous) | 1.61 | 1.61 | 1.34 | |
| (0.47) | (0.48) | (0.71) | ||
| Structurally Weak Ties to a Migrant Network | ||||
| Current migrants (continuous) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.06† | |
| (0.01) | (0.01) | (0.03) | ||
| Dakar nonmigrants (continuous) | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | |
| (0.02) | (0.02) | (0.03) | ||
| Structurally Weak Ties to Current Migrants × Knows Current Migrants | 0.94* | |||
| (0.03) | ||||
| Structurally Weak Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants × Knows Dakar Nonmigrants | 1.02 | |||
| (0.05) | ||||
| AIC | 957.14 | 959.35 | 959.93 | 960.23 |
| BIC | 1,121.69 | 1,123.90 | 1,140.94 | 1,157.69 |
| Log-Likelihood | −458.57 | −459.67 | −457.97 | −456.11 |
| Deviance | 917.14 | 919.35 | 915.93 | 912.23 |
| Number of Observations | 27,660 | 27,660 | 27,660 | 27,660 |
Note: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion.
Source: Compiled by authors using the NSNHP main survey, 2014.
p < .10; *p < .05