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Table 2

Hazard of first migration to Dakar on exposure to migrant alters in social networks, for adults aged 16 or older in Yandé, 2014–2018

Model 1Model 2Model 3
Size of Dakar Migrant Network 1.13*   
 (0.05)   
Previous Returnee (≥5 years)  1.05  
  (0.08)  
Recent Returnee (<5 years)  1.08  
  (0.09)  
Current Migrants  1.17*  
  (0.09)  
Dakar Nonmigrants  1.25**  
  (0.10)  
Ties to Return Migrants (ref. = first quartile)    
 Second quartile (four to five)   1.16 
    (0.38) 
 Third quartile (six to seven)   1.62 
    (0.60) 
 Fourth quartile (eight or more)   1.25 
    (0.59) 
Ties to Current Migrants (ref. = zero)    
 One   1.22 
    (0.63) 
 Two   1.69 
    (0.90) 
 Three   3.45* 
    (1.75) 
 Four+   2.22 
    (1.12) 
Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants (ref. = zero)    
 One   0.91 
    (0.39) 
 Two   1.99 
    (0.96) 
 Three   2.74 
    (1.63) 
 Four+   5.15** 
    (2.82) 
AIC 951.62 954.31 957.54 
BIC 1,107.94 1,135.32 1,196.15 
Log-Likelihood −456.81 −455.15 −449.77 
Deviance 913.62 910.31 899.54 
Number of Observations 27,660 27,660 27,660 
Model 1Model 2Model 3
Size of Dakar Migrant Network 1.13*   
 (0.05)   
Previous Returnee (≥5 years)  1.05  
  (0.08)  
Recent Returnee (<5 years)  1.08  
  (0.09)  
Current Migrants  1.17*  
  (0.09)  
Dakar Nonmigrants  1.25**  
  (0.10)  
Ties to Return Migrants (ref. = first quartile)    
 Second quartile (four to five)   1.16 
    (0.38) 
 Third quartile (six to seven)   1.62 
    (0.60) 
 Fourth quartile (eight or more)   1.25 
    (0.59) 
Ties to Current Migrants (ref. = zero)    
 One   1.22 
    (0.63) 
 Two   1.69 
    (0.90) 
 Three   3.45* 
    (1.75) 
 Four+   2.22 
    (1.12) 
Ties to Dakar Nonmigrants (ref. = zero)    
 One   0.91 
    (0.39) 
 Two   1.99 
    (0.96) 
 Three   2.74 
    (1.63) 
 Four+   5.15** 
    (2.82) 
AIC 951.62 954.31 957.54 
BIC 1,107.94 1,135.32 1,196.15 
Log-Likelihood −456.81 −455.15 −449.77 
Deviance 913.62 910.31 899.54 
Number of Observations 27,660 27,660 27,660 

Notes: Standard errors are shown in parentheses. AIC = Akaike information criterion. BIC = Bayesian information criterion.

Source: Compiled by authors using the NSNHP main survey, 2014.

p < .10; *p < .05; **p < .01

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